Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.008017 0.009023 0.010123 0.011418 0.012904 0.014560 0.016551
2025-01-05 0.006660 0.008081 0.009773 0.011949 0.014692 0.018056 0.022533
2025-01-12 0.005544 0.007054 0.008953 0.011539 0.015005 0.019542 0.026015
2025-01-19 0.004792 0.006331 0.008353 0.011236 0.015300 0.020914 0.029407
2025-01-26 0.004318 0.005894 0.008043 0.011235 0.015941 0.022762 0.033648
2025-02-02 0.004091 0.005757 0.008108 0.011738 0.017324 0.025804 0.040063
2025-02-09 0.003746 0.005407 0.007822 0.011676 0.017827 0.027549 0.044659
2025-02-16 0.003500 0.005173 0.007675 0.011792 0.018599 0.029782 0.050358
2025-02-23 0.003220 0.004860 0.007373 0.011623 0.018871 0.031198 0.054812
2025-03-02 0.003046 0.004693 0.007279 0.011772 0.019680 0.033610 0.061420
2025-03-09 0.002845 0.004463 0.007060 0.011685 0.020057 0.035286 0.066859
2025-03-16 0.002591 0.004128 0.006639 0.011204 0.019671 0.035498 0.069403
2025-03-23 0.002429 0.003940 0.006462 0.011159 0.020122 0.037432 0.075997
2025-03-30 0.002374 0.003929 0.006588 0.011681 0.021720 0.041854 0.088811
2025-04-06 0.002180 0.003662 0.006241 0.011280 0.021458 0.042451 0.093126
2025-04-13 0.002022 0.003444 0.005963 0.010985 0.021370 0.043393 0.098416
2025-04-20 0.001919 0.003319 0.005844 0.010984 0.021888 0.045713 0.107499
2025-04-27 0.001889 0.003324 0.005965 0.011474 0.023507 0.050728 0.124467
2025-05-04 0.001793 0.003197 0.005824 0.011414 0.023910 0.052983 0.134593
2025-05-11 0.001724 0.003118 0.005770 0.011527 0.024717 0.056318 0.148429
2025-05-18 0.001630 0.002983 0.005595 0.011362 0.024855 0.058016 0.157898
2025-05-25 0.001576 0.002922 0.005564 0.011508 0.025748 0.061765 0.174380
2025-06-01 0.001502 0.002818 0.005434 0.011423 0.026068 0.064061 0.186875